Joe Manchin Defined 2021

POLITICS

Three reasons why West Virginia’s senior senator has been so important

With Democrats maintaining a Senate majority only by virtue of also holding the White House, and thus Vice President Kamala Harris’s tie-breaking vote, the party typically needs everyone on board. That means they need Manchin.

Manchin vote largely has been pivotal in the legislative process amid the Biden administration’s attempt to enact two major policy changes, one on infrastructure and one on social policy.

Why is Manchin to influential?

Political scientists who study Congress often use scores called DW-NOMINATE to track where we can divide the coalitions voting yea or nay on a bill; some refer to this as ideology, though that’s a point of some contention. Regardless, the folks who devised DW-NOMINATE found that most votes can be explained by a single dimension that refers to economic and redistributive policy issues. And (again, from voteview.com which calculates and tracks the DW-NOMINATE scores) on that first dimension, Joe Manchin is indeed the most “conservative” Democratic senator.

True, Senate Democrats want Manchin’s vote to be pivotal because the alternative is someone like Lindsey Graham or one of North Dakota’s two Republican senators. But the choice to elevate Manchin as the keystone of the Democratic agenda still has been a choice. And that choice has defined the U.S. policy process for much of 2021.

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